Moving
"Verity" Opening Weekend Box Office (Higher Strikes) 30-32m 3.3% ▼−70Next Google Gemini Pro Model released by...? December 31 36% ▼−32CPI year-over-year in Sep 2026? Exactly 3.6% 64% ▲+23Dancing with the Stars · Episode 5 Elimination Jackson Olson 56% ▲+22What will the next Muse model family be named? Muse Flare 15% ▼−21Brazil Presidential election winner? Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva 17% ▼−19Brazil Presidential Election Flávio Bolsonaro 83% ▲+18New Orleans Jazz & Heritage Festival 2027: Headlin… Jon Batiste 60% ▼−17SpaceX Starship 15th launch? Before Nov 13, 2026 84% ▲+16Next leader out of power before 2027? Sánchez - Spanish PM 23% ▲+15Gemini 4.0 released by...? October 15 73% ▼−14When will OpenAI release Astra 6.1? Before Oct 30, 2026 20% ▲+13"Heart of the Beast" 2nd Weekend Box Office 9-11M 38% ▲+13Which Millennium Prize Problem will AI solve next? No solution by Dec 31, 2027 36% ▲+12

  On air · Kalshi + Polymarket

Every market,
explained live.

Talk to an AI analyst about any prediction market: the odds as of right now, what moved them, and exactly how it resolves. Then watch the Bull and the Bear argue it out.

121markets tracked
39with an AI analyst
76%favourites called it
OddsOnAir LiveBull vs Bear on today's movers

Biggest moves · last 24 hours

What the money moved today

Kalshi vs Polymarket

Same question, two prices

The same market on both venues, side by side. When they disagree, that's the story.

Politics & elections

Politics & elections: the busiest markets

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Economy

Economy: the busiest markets

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World

World: the busiest markets

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Tech & science

Tech & science: the busiest markets

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Culture

Culture: the busiest markets

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Called it

Were the odds right?

Every market we follow, when it settles: what the favourite's price was a week before, and what happened. Of the last 17, the favourite a week out won 13.

The full record →
  • Called itWill anyone win outright in the Brazil Presidential election?No · 91% a week out
  • UpsetBrazil Presidential Election First Round WinnerFlavio Bolsonaro · 26% a week out
  • Called itWho will be Trump's next Secretary of Labor?Keith Sonderling · 97% a week out
  • UpsetWhere will the next next round of US-Iran peace talks be...?USA · <1% a week out
  • Called itWhich party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?United Russia (ER) · 80% a week out

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Two analysts argue the market — the case for the favourite and the case against — from its own data. You send the questions.

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OddsOnAir Live

The day's biggest movers, debated back to back, around the clock. Rules first: no advice, every number with its time and venue.

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